Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Zacha 49.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 55.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Domi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Domi
Zacha
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
4
3
Domi
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
6
4
Domi
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Domi
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
48.9% (5,102)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
55.6% (804)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
42.2% (555)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Domi
Zacha
Home
49.7% (2,604)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Domi
Zacha
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
48.3%
49.2%
P3
49.8%
48.1%
OT
43.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |