Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 51.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 58.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Domi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Domi
Thomas
Last 10: Domi 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Domi
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
2
Domi
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
4
Domi
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
51.1% (5,350)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
55.8% (921)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
49.9% (691)
-1.1%
On even strength, Thomas has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Domi shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Domi
Thomas
Home
49.7% (2,604)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Domi
Thomas
P1
48.7%
50.6%
P2
48.3%
52.9%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
OT
43.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Max Domi |