Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Domi wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Johansen 51.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Domi
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Domi
Johansen
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Domi
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
8
0
Domi
Johansen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (363)
51.5% (615)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
54.3% (140)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.3% (67)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Domi is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Domi shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Domi
Johansen
Home
51.5% (227)
52.4% (389)
Away
44.4% (169)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Domi
Johansen
P1
49.2%
53.4%
P2
45.7%
49.1%
P3
51.7%
51.5%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Max Domi |