Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 66.7%
Defensive zone
Domi 73.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 74.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Domi
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
23
(36 meetings)
13
23
Domi
Johansen
Last 10: Domi 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
7
Domi
Johansen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
9
6
Domi
Johansen
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
10
Domi
Johansen
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
53.1% (11,017)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
50.5% (978)
-1.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Domi shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Domi
Johansen
Home
49.7% (2,604)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Domi
Johansen
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
49.8%
52.8%
OT
43.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |