Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 86.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Domi
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Domi
Kuraly
Last 10: Domi 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
7
1
Domi
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
9
Domi
Kuraly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
9
Domi
Kuraly
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
51.5% (5,141)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
56.0% (100)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.2% (1,086)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Domi
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (2,604)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Domi
Kuraly
P1
48.7%
51.1%
P2
48.3%
49.9%
P3
49.8%
50.0%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |