Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Aho 50.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 59.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 61.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Domi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Domi
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Domi
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
49.9% (851)
+0.5%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
53.5% (144)
+5.8%
On power play, Domi has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Domi shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Domi
Aho
Home
50.0% (174)
53.2% (554)
Away
53.3% (107)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Domi
Aho
P1
45.7%
49.1%
P2
51.5%
50.8%
P3
57.3%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |