Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 52.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 58.2%
Neutral zone
Domi 55.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Domi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
22
(36 meetings)
14
22
Domi
Aho
Last 10: Domi 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Domi
Aho
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
11
Domi
Aho
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Domi
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
50.1% (6,619)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
46.3% (464)
+2.5%
On power play, Aho has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Domi
Aho
Home
49.7% (2,604)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Domi
Aho
P1
48.7%
51.1%
P2
48.3%
52.0%
P3
49.8%
50.7%
OT
43.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |