Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 66.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 61.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 64.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Domi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Domi
Stamkos
Last 6: Domi 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Domi
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (363)
56.5% (246)
-8.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
61.4% (101)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.6% (69)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Domi is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Domi shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Domi
Stamkos
Home
51.5% (227)
54.7% (170)
Away
44.4% (169)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Domi
Stamkos
P1
49.2%
60.9%
P2
45.7%
59.2%
P3
51.7%
50.4%
OT
42.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |