Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.9%). Domi wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 67.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Domi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Domi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
49.3% (670)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
53.7% (121)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Domi shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Domi
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (298)
54.0% (400)
Away
49.2% (246)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Domi
Stamkos
P1
54.8%
48.6%
P2
48.9%
54.5%
P3
46.4%
45.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Max Domi |