Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 44.0% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 54.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.1%
Result
Max Reinhart favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Last 5: Reinhart 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Reinhart
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Reinhart
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (79)
53.6% (392)
-15.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
47.2% (36)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (28)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Reinhart is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Reinhart shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Home
37.7% (53)
54.4% (237)
Away
36.8% (38)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Reinhart
O'Reilly
P1
39.3%
50.3%
P2
42.3%
51.4%
P3
31.4%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
24.0%▼
32.6%
37.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Max Reinhart |