Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +23.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 40.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-23.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 50.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 53.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.7%
Result
Max Reinhart favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Last 5: Reinhart 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Reinhart
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Reinhart
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
31.3% (115)
56.2% (15,260)
-24.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.4% (2,811)
-18.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Reinhart is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Reinhart shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Reinhart
O'Reilly
Home
35.1% (77)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
28.8% (52)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Reinhart
O'Reilly
P1
32.6%
55.6%
P2
35.9%
57.0%
P3
28.6%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
27.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
24.0%▼
32.6%
32.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Max Reinhart |