Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sasson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sasson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 43.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 75.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Sasson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Sasson
McLeod
Last 7: Sasson 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sasson
3
0
Sasson
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Sasson
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Sasson
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (374)
50.4% (3,345)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
51.0% (292)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.3% (635)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Sasson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Sasson shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Sasson
McLeod
Home
38.8% (160)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
44.5% (236)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Sasson
McLeod
P1
43.8%
50.8%
P2
38.8%
48.4%
P3
44.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Max Sasson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Max Sasson |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Max Sasson |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |