Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 18-5 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 95.0%
Defensive zone
Talbot 95.3%
Neutral zone
Talbot 97.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 95.4%
95.4%
4.6%
Talbot
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
18
(23 meetings)
5
18
Talbot
Bergeron
Last 10: Talbot 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
10
Talbot
Bergeron
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
6
Talbot
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Talbot
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
60.1% (13,938)
-11.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
60.8% (3,213)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
53.0% (2,776)
-10.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Talbot
Bergeron
Home
48.0% (1,219)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Talbot
Bergeron
P1
48.7%
59.3%
P2
43.5%
60.0%
P3
48.6%
58.6%
OT
45.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |