Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.1%). Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Talbot wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 45.1% vs Elias 44.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 67.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 63.8%
Neutral zone
Talbot 53.6%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Talbot
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Talbot
Elias
Last 10: Talbot 6-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
4
2
Talbot
Elias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Talbot
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (450)
44.7% (954)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
46.9% (196)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (163)
36.1% (180)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Talbot shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Talbot
Elias
Home
47.8% (295)
46.0% (692)
Away
41.4% (345)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Talbot
Elias
P1
47.0%
40.7%
P2
41.5%
46.8%
P3
44.5%
44.0%
OT
44.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 02:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Max Talbot |