Scouting Report
Max Talbot holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Elias 42.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 76.2%
Defensive zone
Talbot 52.6%
Neutral zone
Elias 58.6%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Talbot
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Talbot
Elias
Last 10: Talbot 4-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
4
6
Talbot
Elias
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Talbot
Elias
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
4
5
Talbot
Elias
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
42.3% (2,591)
+6.0%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
48.4% (405)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
36.0% (367)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Talbot
Elias
Home
48.0% (1,219)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Talbot
Elias
P1
48.7%
41.1%
P2
43.5%
43.1%
P3
48.6%
43.0%
OT
45.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 15, 2013 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 02:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |