Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 47.3%). Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Varone 47.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 60.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 62.0%
Neutral zone
Talbot 51.1%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Talbot
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Talbot
Varone
Last 6: Talbot 4-2 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Varone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
47.5% (575)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
38.5% (13)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
50.0% (2)
-7.7%
On power play, Talbot has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Talbot
Varone
Home
48.0% (1,219)
48.0% (221)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Talbot
Varone
P1
48.7%
50.0%
P2
43.5%
42.7%
P3
48.6%
50.0%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Phil Varone |