Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.1%
Defensive zone
Talbot 63.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Talbot
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Talbot
O'Reilly
Last 10: Talbot 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Talbot
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.9%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
58.8% (3,445)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
51.4% (2,811)
-9.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Talbot
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (1,219)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Talbot
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
43.5%
57.0%
P3
48.6%
55.1%
OT
45.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2016 | OT | 03:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |