Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Talbot wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.1% vs Mitchell 51.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 55.9%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 77.5%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 61.1%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Talbot
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Talbot
Mitchell
Last 8: Talbot 6-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
0
Talbot
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (285)
52.2% (590)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
77.8% (9)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
46.6% (118)
-10.8%
On power play, Mitchell has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Talbot is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Talbot shoots left. Mitchell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Talbot
Mitchell
Home
47.8% (203)
53.1% (356)
Away
47.2% (142)
50.1% (361)
By Period
Talbot
Mitchell
P1
52.5%
60.1%
P2
38.3%
48.3%
P3
52.3%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Max Talbot |