Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 54.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 76.5%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 66.3%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Talbot
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Talbot
Mitchell
Last 8: Talbot 6-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
0
Talbot
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
50.7% (2,523)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
54.3% (35)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
50.7% (473)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Mitchell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,106).
Home / Away
Talbot
Mitchell
Home
48.0% (1,219)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Talbot
Mitchell
P1
48.7%
54.8%
P2
43.5%
48.1%
P3
48.6%
49.6%
OT
45.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Max Talbot |