Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.5%). Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.8% vs Seguin 49.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 65.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 62.3%
Neutral zone
Talbot 51.4%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Talbot
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Talbot
Seguin
Last 6: Talbot 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Talbot
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
0
Talbot
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (642)
48.9% (274)
+1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
53.8% (26)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (207)
50.0% (2)
-6.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Talbot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Talbot shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Talbot
Seguin
Home
49.9% (427)
53.5% (129)
Away
47.4% (447)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Talbot
Seguin
P1
48.4%
52.3%
P2
48.5%
48.1%
P3
48.8%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |