Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 88.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 74.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Talbot
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Talbot
Seguin
Last 7: Talbot 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Talbot
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
0
Talbot
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.4%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
55.9% (810)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
49.3% (762)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Talbot
Seguin
Home
48.0% (1,219)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Talbot
Seguin
P1
48.7%
52.8%
P2
43.5%
53.3%
P3
48.6%
54.7%
OT
45.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |