Scouting Report
Vinny Prospal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Prospal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Prospal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Prospal 51.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prospal 79.0%
Defensive zone
Talbot 85.8%
Neutral zone
Talbot 55.2%
Result
Vinny Prospal favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Talbot
Prospal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Talbot
Prospal
Last 6: Talbot 3-3 Prospal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Prospal
0
3
Talbot
Prospal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
0
Talbot
Prospal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
Prospal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Prospal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
49.3% (69)
-1.0%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
54.7% (86)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
0.0% (1)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Prospal shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Prospal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Talbot
Prospal
Home
48.0% (1,219)
50.6% (89)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
52.9% (70)
By Period
Talbot
Prospal
P1
48.7%
52.6%
P2
43.5%
52.4%
P3
48.6%
45.9%
OT
45.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Prospal
40.0%▼
51.6%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Vinny Prospal |