Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.8% vs Smith 53.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 64.1%
Defensive zone
Talbot 63.5%
Neutral zone
Talbot 62.6%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Talbot
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Talbot
Smith
Last 6: Talbot 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Talbot
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (642)
58.1% (322)
-7.6%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
36.8% (19)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (207)
32.6% (46)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Talbot shoots left. Smith is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Talbot
Smith
Home
49.9% (427)
58.8% (204)
Away
47.4% (447)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Talbot
Smith
P1
48.4%
52.9%
P2
48.5%
56.3%
P3
48.8%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |