Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 50.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 59.4%
Neutral zone
Talbot 59.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Talbot
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Talbot
Smith
Last 10: Talbot 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
6
Talbot
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
51.6% (5,265)
-3.3%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
51.2% (342)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
45.3% (985)
-3.0%
On even strength, Smith has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Talbot
Smith
Home
48.0% (1,219)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Talbot
Smith
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
43.5%
50.0%
P3
48.6%
51.9%
OT
45.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |