Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.1% vs Smith 51.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.3%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Talbot
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Talbot
Smith
Last 5: Talbot 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Talbot
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (285)
53.6% (550)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
53.5% (71)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
43.5% (108)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Talbot is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Talbot shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Talbot
Smith
Home
47.8% (203)
56.5% (352)
Away
47.2% (142)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Talbot
Smith
P1
52.5%
52.0%
P2
38.3%
51.5%
P3
52.3%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |