Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Lapierre 51.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 73.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 65.4%
Neutral zone
Fraser 58.0%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Fraser
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fraser
Lapierre
Last 5: Fraser 2-3 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Lapierre
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
3
Fraser
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
51.2% (422)
-2.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
66.7% (6)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
57.4% (54)
-18.9%
On power play, Lapierre has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Fraser is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Fraser shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Fraser
Lapierre
Home
49.7% (189)
54.4% (239)
Away
44.8% (181)
49.8% (243)
By Period
Fraser
Lapierre
P1
44.6%
49.4%
P2
48.1%
52.8%
P3
49.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |