Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Lapierre 50.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 87.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 73.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Stepan
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Lapierre
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
2
Stepan
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Stepan
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
2
Stepan
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
53.1% (527)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
31.8% (66)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Stepan is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (484).
Stepan shoots right. Lapierre is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Stepan
Lapierre
Home
47.8% (828)
51.8% (309)
Away
42.0% (684)
49.6% (284)
By Period
Stepan
Lapierre
P1
49.5%
51.0%
P2
42.0%
57.2%
P3
44.3%
44.1%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |