Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Thornton wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Lapierre 50.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 93.7%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 50.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 73.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Thornton
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Thornton
Lapierre
Last 10: Thornton 9-1 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
8
1
Thornton
Lapierre
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Lapierre
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
52.9% (416)
+4.1%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
54.5% (11)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
41.7% (115)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Thornton shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Thornton
Lapierre
Home
56.7% (353)
48.7% (277)
Away
60.3% (348)
52.5% (265)
By Period
Thornton
Lapierre
P1
59.3%
56.6%
P2
60.1%
43.9%
P3
57.1%
52.7%
OT
47.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | OT | 03:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |