Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Horak 43.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 88.6%
Defensive zone
Horak 62.2%
Neutral zone
Horak 74.3%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Lapierre
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lapierre
Horak
Last 9: Lapierre 3-6 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
5
Lapierre
Horak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Horak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
Horak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
41.8% (594)
+11.1%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
51.4% (37)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
57.9% (19)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Lapierre shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Horak
Home
53.0% (1,250)
43.7% (325)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Lapierre
Horak
P1
52.5%
42.4%
P2
50.7%
44.2%
P3
51.1%
42.6%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |