Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 86.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 78.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 65.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Lapierre
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
21
(40 meetings)
19
21
Lapierre
Gagner
Last 10: Lapierre 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
10
Lapierre
Gagner
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
9
2
Lapierre
Gagner
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
9
Lapierre
Gagner
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
45.4% (4,699)
+7.5%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
51.5% (928)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
35.0% (226)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Gagner
Home
53.0% (1,250)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Lapierre
Gagner
P1
52.5%
44.6%
P2
50.7%
46.1%
P3
51.1%
47.3%
OT
41.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |