Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Zajac 54.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 90.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 55.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 79.8%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Lapierre
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lapierre
Zajac
Last 7: Lapierre 5-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
3
1
Lapierre
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
54.4% (9,056)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
59.1% (1,498)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
48.6% (1,599)
-5.5%
On power play, Zajac has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Zajac
Home
53.0% (1,250)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Lapierre
Zajac
P1
52.5%
53.8%
P2
50.7%
55.6%
P3
51.1%
53.6%
OT
41.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |