Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Amadio 48.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 95.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 67.7%
Neutral zone
Amadio 58.0%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Beagle
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beagle
Amadio
Last 9: Beagle 3-6 Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
2
Beagle
Amadio
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
0
1
Beagle
Amadio
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
3
Beagle
Amadio
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
48.7% (458)
+10.3%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
44.4% (9)
+39.8%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
38.5% (13)
+18.7%
On power play, Beagle has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Beagle is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Beagle shoots right. Amadio is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Beagle
Amadio
Home
62.7% (306)
46.6% (238)
Away
56.2% (372)
50.0% (242)
By Period
Beagle
Amadio
P1
64.5%
46.6%
P2
56.7%
54.2%
P3
56.2%
43.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Amadio
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |