Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Amadio wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 45.9% vs Dowd 50.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 73.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Amadio
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Amadio
Dowd
Last 5: Amadio 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
0
Amadio
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Amadio
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (148)
51.6% (343)
-10.4%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
50.0% (2)
+9.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Amadio is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Amadio shoots right. Dowd is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Amadio
Dowd
Home
45.6% (79)
43.0% (172)
Away
41.8% (91)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Amadio
Dowd
P1
44.3%
47.4%
P2
39.1%
60.6%
P3
48.9%
44.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
43.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |