Scouting Report
Michael Amadio holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 94.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.9%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Amadio
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Amadio
Dowd
Last 5: Amadio 5-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
4
0
Amadio
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
49.2% (778)
+2.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.0% (234)
+22.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Amadio is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Amadio shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Amadio
Dowd
Home
50.6% (85)
46.3% (492)
Away
53.1% (49)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Amadio
Dowd
P1
62.2%
49.1%
P2
43.2%
48.2%
P3
48.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |