Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 48.6% vs Dowd 49.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 54.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Amadio
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Amadio
Dowd
Last 8: Amadio 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
3
1
Amadio
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Amadio
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (458)
50.7% (379)
-2.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
64.3% (14)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
46.5% (157)
-8.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Amadio is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Amadio shoots right. Dowd is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Amadio
Dowd
Home
46.6% (238)
53.7% (244)
Away
50.0% (242)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Amadio
Dowd
P1
46.6%
53.6%
P2
54.2%
44.1%
P3
43.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
48.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |