Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 76.4%
Defensive zone
Amadio 81.6%
Neutral zone
Amadio 80.2%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Amadio
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Amadio
Stastny
Last 10: Amadio 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Amadio
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
4
3
Amadio
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Amadio
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
54.6% (10,616)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
52.9% (1,119)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Amadio
Stastny
Home
47.3% (656)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.3% (787)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Amadio
Stastny
P1
50.5%
56.3%
P2
44.8%
55.4%
P3
46.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |