Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 45.9% vs Kuraly 46.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 57.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.9%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Amadio
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Amadio
Kuraly
Last 5: Amadio 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
3
1
Amadio
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (148)
46.0% (661)
-4.8%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
77.8% (9)
-18.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Amadio is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Amadio shoots right. Kuraly is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Amadio
Kuraly
Home
45.6% (79)
47.2% (335)
Away
41.8% (91)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Amadio
Kuraly
P1
44.3%
47.1%
P2
39.1%
44.6%
P3
48.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
43.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |