Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 73.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 74.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Amadio
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Amadio
Kuraly
Last 7: Amadio 5-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
3
1
Amadio
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Amadio
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
51.5% (5,141)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
56.0% (100)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
44.2% (1,086)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Amadio
Kuraly
Home
47.3% (656)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.3% (787)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Amadio
Kuraly
P1
50.5%
51.1%
P2
44.8%
49.9%
P3
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |