Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 71.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.9%
Neutral zone
Amadio 54.1%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Amadio
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Amadio
Nosek
Last 10: Amadio 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Amadio
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Amadio
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
1
Amadio
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
54.9% (2,674)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
44.7% (47)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
47.4% (424)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Amadio
Nosek
Home
47.3% (656)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
47.3% (787)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Amadio
Nosek
P1
50.5%
52.3%
P2
44.8%
54.0%
P3
46.7%
54.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |