Michael Cammalleri vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Cammalleri holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cammalleri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cammalleri wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cammalleri 48.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cammalleri 67.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Neutral zone
Cammalleri 57.7%
Result
Michael Cammalleri favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Cammalleri 5-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cammalleri
2
0
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cammalleri
2
1
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,096)
44.9% (8,756)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.3% (253)
50.7% (839)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (107)
37.9% (879)
-1.5%
On power play, Cammalleri has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Cammalleri is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (908).
Cammalleri shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.7% (707)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
50.0% (750)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Cammalleri
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.0%
45.1%
P2
48.2%
43.9%
P3
46.0%
45.3%
OT
30.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cammalleri
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Michael Cammalleri |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Cammalleri |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |