Michael Cammalleri vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.2%). Look for Cammalleri on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cammalleri 48.0% vs Connolly 47.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cammalleri 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cammalleri 53.2%
Neutral zone
Cammalleri 60.4%
Result
Michael Cammalleri favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Cammalleri
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cammalleri
Connolly
Last 5: Cammalleri 4-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cammalleri
4
1
Cammalleri
Connolly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cammalleri
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,096)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.3% (253)
50.2% (251)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (107)
41.9% (186)
-5.5%
On power play, Cammalleri has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Cammalleri is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (549).
Cammalleri shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Cammalleri
Connolly
Home
45.7% (707)
48.5% (870)
Away
50.0% (750)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Cammalleri
Connolly
P1
51.0%
47.4%
P2
48.2%
47.7%
P3
46.0%
47.0%
OT
30.4%
37.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cammalleri
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |