Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Spaling 49.9% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Spaling 51.0%
Defensive zone
Spaling 51.5%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.1%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Chaput
Spaling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
50.5% (2,263)
+1.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
43.4% (53)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
48.0% (498)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Chaput
Spaling
Home
53.5% (602)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
49.8% (650)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Chaput
Spaling
P1
48.6%
49.8%
P2
51.6%
48.3%
P3
54.5%
52.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%