Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 50.6% vs Fogarty 45.7% (+21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 74.8%
Defensive zone
Chaput 93.2%
Neutral zone
Chaput 86.2%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Chaput
Fogarty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Chaput
Fogarty
Last 6: Chaput 6-0 Fogarty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Fogarty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
0
Chaput
Fogarty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
0
Chaput
Fogarty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Fogarty
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (210)
29.6% (27)
+22.8%
On even strength, Chaput has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fogarty shoots right. Chaput is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Chaput shoots left. Fogarty is 22.7% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Chaput
Fogarty
Home
52.6% (133)
66.7% (9)
Away
48.6% (111)
11.1% (18)
By Period
Chaput
Fogarty
P1
46.6%
37.5%
P2
50.6%
38.5%
P3
56.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Fogarty
48.0%▲
43.5%
29.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |