Michael Chaput vs Steven Fogarty
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Fogarty 47.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 71.9%
Defensive zone
Chaput 91.5%
Neutral zone
Chaput 82.6%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Chaput
Fogarty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Chaput
Fogarty
Last 6: Chaput 6-0 Fogarty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Fogarty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
0
Chaput
Fogarty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
0
Chaput
Fogarty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Fogarty
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
43.9% (66)
+8.3%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
0.0% (2)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
100.0% (1)
-57.1%
On penalty kill, Fogarty has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fogarty shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Chaput shoots left. Fogarty is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Chaput
Fogarty
Home
53.5% (602)
58.6% (29)
Away
49.8% (650)
32.5% (40)
By Period
Chaput
Fogarty
P1
48.6%
48.0%
P2
51.6%
48.0%
P3
54.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Fogarty
48.0%▲
43.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |