Casey Cizikas vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 52.8%). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs McCarron 52.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 86.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 64.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Cizikas
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
McCarron
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
53.1% (672)
+0.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
18.2% (11)
+81.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
53.7% (205)
-6.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +81.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Cizikas
McCarron
Home
51.9% (258)
52.8% (477)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Cizikas
McCarron
P1
56.0%
56.5%
P2
55.1%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |