Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.2%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs McCarron 52.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 81.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Strome
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Strome
McCarron
Last 6: Strome 1-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Strome
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Strome
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
54.5% (618)
-3.9%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
42.1% (19)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
35.3% (34)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Strome
McCarron
Home
51.9% (700)
52.2% (339)
Away
53.9% (620)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Strome
McCarron
P1
51.6%
53.5%
P2
53.0%
50.6%
P3
54.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |