Joel Eriksson Ek vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs McCarron 54.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 84.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 53.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 63.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Ek
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ek
McCarron
Last 8: Ek 2-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Ek
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Ek
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
54.2% (756)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
55.6% (9)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
55.1% (158)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Ek shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Ek
McCarron
Home
49.2% (331)
54.6% (445)
Away
45.7% (536)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Ek
McCarron
P1
38.7%
53.6%
P2
52.9%
55.6%
P3
48.8%
53.7%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |