Scouting Report
Nic Petan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Petan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McCarron wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 45.8% vs Petan 47.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 50.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 52.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McCarron
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McCarron
Petan
Last 9: McCarron 3-6 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Petan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
McCarron
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Petan
2
4
McCarron
Petan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (163)
46.5% (299)
-2.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
40.0% (15)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. McCarron is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (131).
McCarron shoots right. Petan is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
McCarron
Petan
Home
44.9% (78)
45.8% (131)
Away
42.3% (97)
46.2% (184)
By Period
McCarron
Petan
P1
47.1%
52.6%
P2
40.7%
46.2%
P3
41.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
43.4%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nic Petan |