Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Petan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Petan 45.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Petan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Petan 88.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 52.5%
Neutral zone
Petan 69.7%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
McCarron
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
McCarron
Petan
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Petan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
McCarron
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Petan
2
4
McCarron
Petan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
45.4% (416)
+8.0%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
34.6% (26)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
0.0% (1)
+50.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
McCarron
Petan
Home
52.3% (1,696)
42.3% (196)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
46.6% (247)
By Period
McCarron
Petan
P1
53.9%
51.9%
P2
52.5%
45.0%
P3
52.0%
35.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nic Petan |