Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.7%). McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Acciari 53.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 69.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 54.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
McCarron
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
McCarron
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
56.7% (393)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
33.3% (3)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
48.0% (202)
+7.1%
On power play, McCarron has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Acciari is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
McCarron
Acciari
Home
54.6% (445)
54.5% (279)
Away
54.2% (478)
53.0% (319)
By Period
McCarron
Acciari
P1
53.6%
56.9%
P2
55.6%
51.4%
P3
53.7%
53.2%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |